http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nflpostseasonprob.html Looks like the chargers, chiefs and texans will be on the outside looking in.
That predictor doesn't account for the fact that we have JJ on this team, which means we are winning out.
This predictor totally considers the Texans losing to the Colts/Ravens. We all know if that happens, they definitely won't be in. The key is that they still sorta control their own destiny... if they win out, mostly all scenarios have them making it. Regardless, this team (and coaching staff) has shown great improvement from last year to this year, and within this year itself... I'm pleased with the way BOB has them playing currently, and he'll be able to implement more flexibility in his gameplans with actual talent (either via this year's drafted players who did nothing, next year's draft, or off-season acquisitions).
The upcoming game is the Texans's "Super Bowl." If they win that, nothing else matters. The season will have been a great success. I would like our chances a lot better with Mallet, but if the defense can have a record day, then there is hope.
I think if we win out and the chargers lose 1 game we are in. Since we only lost to 3 NFC teams. We will have the best AFC Conf record and wins over, Balt, Clev and Buf. I can't comeup with any combo if the chargers lose 1 game that we don't make the playoffs http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine
And ensuring they have a really solid chance to make the playoffs. Beat Indy and Jacksonville and you go to the playoffs unless 2 Wild Card teams have 10 wins.
6th SEED = HOU WIN + BAL LOSS + SD LOSS HOU wins tie break over San Diego and Baltimore based on best win percentage in conference games 6th SEED = HOU WIN + SD LOSS + PIT LOSS + CIN LOSS HOU wins tie break over Cleveland and San Diego based on best win percentage in conference games. Division tie break was initially used to eliminate Pittsburgh (Cleveland wins tie break over Pittsburgh based on best win percentage in common games). 6th SEED = HOU WIN + BAL LOSS + PIT LOSS + CIN LOSS HOU wins tie break over Baltimore based on best win percentage in conference games. Division tie break was initially used to eliminate Cleveland (Baltimore wins tie break over Cleveland and Pittsburgh based on head-to-head win percentage). Division tie break was initially used to eliminate Pittsburgh (Baltimore wins tie break over Cleveland and Pittsburgh based on head-to-head win percentage). 5th SEED = HOU WIN + BAL LOSS + SD LOSS + PIT LOSS + CIN LOSS HOU wins tie break over San Diego and Baltimore (and KC/MIA should they win) based on best win percentage in conference games. Division tie break was initially used to eliminate Cleveland (Baltimore wins tie break over Cleveland and Pittsburgh based on head-to-head win percentage). Division tie break was initially used to eliminate Pittsburgh (Baltimore wins tie break over Cleveland and Pittsburgh based on head-to-head win percentage).
In terms of general importance...the Indy game isnt as huge as the Baltimore game. We essentially will not win the division (unless we sweap and the Colts lose to the Titans this season). I personally rather be firing on all cylinders approaching the Baltimore game(our biggest game). Regardless...we need to go into Indy with the mindset that we have to beat them. Period. They are overrated as a football team personally, but if you give Luck a chance with the ball in the 4th with a chance to take the lead with a TD or a FG...we are screwed. The Texans should look to coming out very strong and remaining consistent. Chuck Pagano employed a totally bushleague move at NRG earlier this season with an onside kick in the first half. The Texans should go into their bag of tricks for this game. FG attempt, sneak pass...etc. Go in there with the mentality that you will do anything and everything to win...and don't play to loose. Also if Swearinger can lay out TY Hilton, that also would be nice...
The Colts game affects the division record AND the conference record. Plus the Colts still have to play the Cowboys. If the Colts lose that game and to the Texans, the division record is the same and the Texans will have a better conference record.
It doesn't matter; Colts hold the tie-breaker. The Texans can only win the division with a win-out/lose-out scenario.
The tiebreaker after division record is common opponents, not conference record. Colts have beaten the Giants and Bengals, two teams the Texans lost to. The Texans haven't beaten anybody the Colts have lost to.
