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Bitcoin poll - price prediction july 2020

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout' started by Htowngenius, Jul 23, 2019.

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What will a bitcoin cost 1 yr from now

Poll closed Sep 21, 2019.
  1. Between 0 - 1000 = it will crash and die

    7 vote(s)
    19.4%
  2. Between 1000 - 5000 = bear market

    2 vote(s)
    5.6%
  3. Between 5000 - 15000 = same range as today

    13 vote(s)
    36.1%
  4. Between 15000 - 30000 = continual upswing, new highs

    5 vote(s)
    13.9%
  5. Above 30000 = moon

    9 vote(s)
    25.0%
  1. Htowngenius

    Htowngenius Member

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    Where is bitcoin headed?
     
  2. Space Ghost

    Space Ghost Contributing Member

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    I dont waste my hard earned money on this digital trash. Unless its DENT.
     
    mrm32 and Yung-T like this.
  3. Commodore

    Commodore Contributing Member

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  4. DonnyMost

    DonnyMost be kind. be brave.
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    Very strange we didn't see a spike after the last halvening like we did in 2013.

    I think the trajectory is off by an order of magnitude (if it hits 100K in 2021 I'll poop my pampers) but yeah this train has no brakes.
     
  5. Commodore

    Commodore Contributing Member

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    you can think that, but the stock to flow model fits like a glove (with other commodities as well)

     
    Yung-T likes this.
  6. DonnyMost

    DonnyMost be kind. be brave.
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    I'm not sure what you mean. The article actually agrees with me re: the last halvening misfire.

    Then going on about future value:

    I can see this happening, I just think that sustaining 100K will take a year or two longer than that map projects.
     
    #6 DonnyMost, Jul 26, 2019
    Last edited: Jul 26, 2019
  7. Commodore

    Commodore Contributing Member

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    the halvening creates a delayed response because ignorant people are unaware of the algorithmic supply shock (perhaps there will be front-running of future halvenings as people become more knowledgeable), but the price eventually reverts back to the stock-to-flow model

    trying to predict a near term price around a disruptive event like a halvening is a fool's game
     
  8. DonnyMost

    DonnyMost be kind. be brave.
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    That doesn't explain or comport with what happened in 2013 though.
     
  9. htownrox1

    htownrox1 Member

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    What do y'all use to buy and sell Bitcoin? Coinbase?
     
  10. Commodore

    Commodore Contributing Member

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    for recurring buys where you can set it and forget it, Coinbase is good

    CashApp for one time purchases
     
    DonnyMost and htownrox1 like this.
  11. Xerobull

    Xerobull You son of a b!tch! I'm in!

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  12. DonnyMost

    DonnyMost be kind. be brave.
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    I can second this. Although one time purchases tend to be fewer and fewer for me now. Chasing BTC trends can get exhausting.

    I'm curious about two things in particular.

    1) What are the moderate/practical security steps you should employ for your crypto?

    2) How much of your liquid assets (savings) should you keep in crypto?
     
  13. TheRealist137

    TheRealist137 Member

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    This graph makes no sense. There's not even enough money in this world to cover the marketcap of bitcoin if it goes to $1million or $10 million (lol). You'd have people like the Winklevoss twins that own 1% of all bitcoin being trillionaires (and whatever comes after trillion). That's impossible. Not to mention thousands of people becoming millionaires overnight as they have bitcoin.
     
  14. LosPollosHermanos

    LosPollosHermanos Houston only fan
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    the second people start liquidating this "value" that they have you start to see the real picture. Bitcoin is largely an illusion.
     
  15. Commodore

    Commodore Contributing Member

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    think of other stores of value besides cash

    [​IMG]
     
    #15 Commodore, Jul 26, 2019
    Last edited: Jul 26, 2019
  16. KingCheetah

    KingCheetah Contributing Member

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    LosPollosHermanos likes this.
  17. Buck Turgidson

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  18. DonnyMost

    DonnyMost be kind. be brave.
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    This is where bitcoin seems to really have the most utility, as a store of value.

    Every other asset class kinda sucks in that regard.
     
  19. Commodore

    Commodore Contributing Member

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    CNBC drinking the stock-to-flow model koolaid

     
  20. CCity Zero

    CCity Zero Member

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    1) how much are you investing, this'll determine how serious you need to be. ie offline Google authentication and crypto key etc, if it's not a good amount it's probably not worth it, unless it takes off. This also depends on how much you plan on trading (daytrader or sit and forget)? Like if you're a day trader and you're moving volume fast and a lot of it you'll want to take it off the exchange etc when you're not trading, but if you're a small fish moving $500 or so I wouldn't bother and just screw around on an exchange. If it hits that's when you remove it.

    2) the best answer is only invest what you can afford to lose. There's a lot of legit stuff out there, but this is still the wildwest in terms of investing, there's no regulations and whales can easily flash crash the market to manipulate things.

    For example there's stuff like this happening a few days ago, "Earlier today, this unknown Bitcoin holder shifted 49,755.64 BTC ($468.5 million) in a single transaction" I didn't verify this one, but I've seen some crazy flash crashes where people will sometimes get lucky and buy into a coin for super cheap. I sometimes set orders super low, and let them sit but it's so rare. Anyway what I'm trying to say is this whole thing could go crazy high or fall in an instant and right now the whales are testing the market. You'll hopefully get lucky and find a good entry.

    Best flash crash I've seen though were orders filled for Etherium at like $30 mark when it was around $120
     

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