It should work. Bobrek had already posted it. I just didn't realize what he posted was the same thing.
You are assuming these video poker machines are following the exact odds. I could be wrong, but I don't think they do.
I had assumed there were regulations in place for gambling licenses that dictate fair odds. Is this not so?
I have to believe they are strictly regulated. Last thing these guys want is me missing out on a $25 payout because they did something crooked.
When attempting to draw a particular card, your odds of hitting that 4th Ace are 1/47 on the first draw and then 1/46 on the 2nd draw. The odds are the same for every hand. So each of those 10 hands has the exact same odds of hitting that Ace. However, when dealing with a random draw on a larger sample size, there are bound to be a random set of outcomes. So although the odds seem better with 10 hands, I believe this is ultimately an illusion.
I tend to agree about the illusion, but due to those darned statistics, the odds should get better the more you are in that situation. For instance, pretty sure that when I have played 50 hands on my iPad, I have always hit that 4th ace.
Yeah statistics and probability are a whole different breed of math. Regression to the mean is what you are referring to. For instance a coin is flipped 99 times and hits tails all 99 times. What are the odds it hits heads on the 100th toss? Still 50/50. There is no recency bias in stats. While regession to the mean tells you that heads has to come up sooner or later, the odds are still 50/50 on that 100th toss.
In the immortal words of Gene Elston the old Colts/Astros announcer when a player was in a long hitless streak: “The longer he goes without getting a hit, the closer he comes to getting one”
