Miguel
12-21-2004, 12:53 PM
Ok...so the Texans still have an outside shot at the playoffs.
The scenario I came up with...not totally complete...but I think if
everything falls the way it's laid out...then Texans would sneak in.
Texans win 2
Jacksonville loses 2
Baltimore loses 2
Denver loses 2
Buffalo loses 2
KC wins 2
Since Texans/Jags are in the same division, and Denver/KC are in the
same division, division tiebreakers apply to them before throwing them
in the wildcard mix.
If Texans win 2, and Jacksonville loses 2, that means that the Texans
beat the Jags in week 16, putting the season series at 2-0 Texans.
Texans move to the wild card contention.
If Denver loses 2, and KC wins 2, then it'd go all the way down the
tiebreaker procedure to...
1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
5. Strength of victory.
As it stands now... KC edges out Denver .560 to .429. If the same
holds true after KC's 2 wins, and I don't think it'll change
much...then KC advances to the wild card contention.
So, it remains
Texans
Bills
Chiefs
Ravens
(Note: If two clubs remain tied after third or other clubs are
eliminated, tie breaker reverts to step 1 of applicable two-club
format.)
1. Apply division tie breaker to eliminate all but the highest ranked
club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. The original
seeding within a division upon application of the division tie breaker
remains the same for all subsequent applications of the procedure that
are necessary to identify the two Wild-Card participants.
2. Head-to-head sweep. (Applicable only if one club has defeated each
of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others.)
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
1 has already been done...
2 would not apply.
3...is where teams start getting knocked off.
Since Texans, Ravens, and Chiefs are all 5-5-0 in the conference, and
Buffalo is 5-6...someone is about to get knocked off...
For this scenario to even come into play...we've already stated that
Houston wins 2, Baltimore loses 2, Chiefs win 2, and Buffalo loses 2.
This would put...
Houston at 7-5, KC at 7-5, Baltimore at 5-7, and Buffalo at 5-7.
This leaves Houston and KC.
Two Clubs
1. Head-to-head, if applicable.
Sep 26
Texans vs Chiefs
24-21
TEXANS ADVANCE!
Although there's about a 5% chance of this happening...there's still a chance!
KC: (win 2)
Dec 25 Oakland 5:00pm
Jan 2 @San Diego 4:15pm
Buffalo: (lose 2)
Dec 26 @San Francisco 4:05pm
Jan 2 Pittsburgh 1:00pm
Denver: (lose 2)
Dec 25 @Tennessee 8:30pm
Jan 2 Indianapolis 4:15pm
Jacksonville: (lose 2)
Dec 26 Houston 1:00pm
Jan 2 @Oakland 4:15pm
Baltimore: (lose 2)
Dec 26 @Pittsburgh 1:00pm
Jan 2 Miami 1:00pm
Houston: (win 2)
Dec 26 @Jacksonville 1:00pm
Jan 2 Cleveland 1:00pm
Yes...I have nothing better to do with my afternoons. Later guys.
The scenario I came up with...not totally complete...but I think if
everything falls the way it's laid out...then Texans would sneak in.
Texans win 2
Jacksonville loses 2
Baltimore loses 2
Denver loses 2
Buffalo loses 2
KC wins 2
Since Texans/Jags are in the same division, and Denver/KC are in the
same division, division tiebreakers apply to them before throwing them
in the wildcard mix.
If Texans win 2, and Jacksonville loses 2, that means that the Texans
beat the Jags in week 16, putting the season series at 2-0 Texans.
Texans move to the wild card contention.
If Denver loses 2, and KC wins 2, then it'd go all the way down the
tiebreaker procedure to...
1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
5. Strength of victory.
As it stands now... KC edges out Denver .560 to .429. If the same
holds true after KC's 2 wins, and I don't think it'll change
much...then KC advances to the wild card contention.
So, it remains
Texans
Bills
Chiefs
Ravens
(Note: If two clubs remain tied after third or other clubs are
eliminated, tie breaker reverts to step 1 of applicable two-club
format.)
1. Apply division tie breaker to eliminate all but the highest ranked
club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. The original
seeding within a division upon application of the division tie breaker
remains the same for all subsequent applications of the procedure that
are necessary to identify the two Wild-Card participants.
2. Head-to-head sweep. (Applicable only if one club has defeated each
of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others.)
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
1 has already been done...
2 would not apply.
3...is where teams start getting knocked off.
Since Texans, Ravens, and Chiefs are all 5-5-0 in the conference, and
Buffalo is 5-6...someone is about to get knocked off...
For this scenario to even come into play...we've already stated that
Houston wins 2, Baltimore loses 2, Chiefs win 2, and Buffalo loses 2.
This would put...
Houston at 7-5, KC at 7-5, Baltimore at 5-7, and Buffalo at 5-7.
This leaves Houston and KC.
Two Clubs
1. Head-to-head, if applicable.
Sep 26
Texans vs Chiefs
24-21
TEXANS ADVANCE!
Although there's about a 5% chance of this happening...there's still a chance!
KC: (win 2)
Dec 25 Oakland 5:00pm
Jan 2 @San Diego 4:15pm
Buffalo: (lose 2)
Dec 26 @San Francisco 4:05pm
Jan 2 Pittsburgh 1:00pm
Denver: (lose 2)
Dec 25 @Tennessee 8:30pm
Jan 2 Indianapolis 4:15pm
Jacksonville: (lose 2)
Dec 26 Houston 1:00pm
Jan 2 @Oakland 4:15pm
Baltimore: (lose 2)
Dec 26 @Pittsburgh 1:00pm
Jan 2 Miami 1:00pm
Houston: (win 2)
Dec 26 @Jacksonville 1:00pm
Jan 2 Cleveland 1:00pm
Yes...I have nothing better to do with my afternoons. Later guys.